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← NFL props tonight

Tucker Kraft

NFL · Green Bay Packers @ New England Patriots · started · prices read 3 min ago

Receptions 4.5

Best Over -105 BetMGMBest Under -109 DraftKings
L580%4/5 over
L1050%5/10 over
Season50%4/8 over
vs DK's line67%4/6 over · +0.5 avg
Avg L104.4-0.1 vs line
2572324655464.5
Last games, oldest → newest. Green went over 4.5, red stayed under.
Vs the line DraftKings posted, last 6
GameDK line thenActual+/−
Oct 294.56+1.5O
Oct 254.54-0.5U
Oct 114.55+0.5O
Oct 43.56+2.5O
Sep 243.54+0.5O
Sep 203.52-1.5U

The last DraftKings line before each game, so a moving line is judged against what you could actually bet. Books adjust: a player who keeps beating his line usually gets a higher one.

6 books on 4.5 · moved today
BookOverUnder
DraftKings-117-109
FanDuel-114-114
BetMGM-105-125
Pinnacle-105-115
Bovada-120-110
BetOnline-110-118

Since the first read today: DraftKings -113/-113 → -117/-109

Fair Over 48.9% Pinnacle no-vig EV at best price: Over -4.5% · Under -2.0% DK vs Pinnacle +1.9pp Under

Receiving yds 45.5

Best Over -113 DraftKingsBest Under -106 Pinnacle
L560%3/5 over
L1050%5/10 over
Season50%4/8 over
vs DK's line50%3/6 over · -5.2 avg
Avg L1051.3+5.8 vs line
435814320651526426437485345.5
Last games, oldest → newest. Green went over 45.5, red stayed under.
Vs the line DraftKings posted, last 6
GameDK line thenActual+/−
Oct 2946.553+6.5O
Oct 2551.548-3.5U
Oct 1150.564+13.5O
Oct 440.542+1.5O
Sep 2446.526-20.5U
Sep 2043.515-28.5U

The last DraftKings line before each game, so a moving line is judged against what you could actually bet. Books adjust: a player who keeps beating his line usually gets a higher one.

5 books on 45.5 · moved today
BookOverUnder
DraftKings-113-111
FanDuel-113-113
Pinnacle-114-106
Bovada-115-115
BetOnline-116-111

Since the first read today: DraftKings -114/-110 → -113/-111

Fair Over 50.9% Pinnacle no-vig EV at best price: Over -4.1% · Under -4.5% DK vs Pinnacle -0.7pp Under
6 alternate lines
LineBest OverBest UnderL10 overSeason
35.5-200 Bovada+150 Bovada7/106/8
40.5-150 Bovada+115 Bovada6/105/8
43.5-115 BetMGM-115 BetMGM5/104/8
44.5-113 BetRivers-118 BetRivers5/104/8
50.5+110 Bovada-145 Bovada4/103/8
55.5+140 Bovada-185 Bovada3/102/8

Recent games

StatLast games (newest first)
rush yds0.0 · 0.0 · 0.0 · 2.0 · 3.0 · 0.0 · 0.0 · 0.0
rush attempts0.0 · 0.0 · 0.0 · 1.0 · 1.0 · 0.0 · 0.0 · 0.0
receptions6.0 · 4.0 · 5.0 · 5.0 · 6.0 · 4.0 · 2.0 · 3.0
reception yds53.0 · 48.0 · 37.0 · 64.0 · 42.0 · 26.0 · 15.0 · 65.0
pass yds0.0 · 0.0 · 0.0 · 0.0 · 0.0 · 0.0 · 0.0 · 0.0
pass tds0.0 · 0.0 · 0.0 · 0.0 · 0.0 · 0.0 · 0.0 · 0.0
pass interceptions0.0 · 0.0 · 0.0 · 0.0 · 0.0 · 0.0 · 0.0 · 0.0
pass completions0.0 · 0.0 · 0.0 · 0.0 · 0.0 · 0.0 · 0.0 · 0.0
pass attempts0.0 · 0.0 · 0.0 · 0.0 · 0.0 · 0.0 · 0.0 · 0.0
anytime td1.0 · 1.0 · 0.0 · 0.0 · 1.0 · 0.0 · 0.0 · 0.0

More from this game: Christian Watson · Corey Kiner · DeMario Douglas · Drake Maye · Efton Chism III · Eli Raridon · Hunter Henry · Jordan Love · Josh Jacobs · Kyle Williams · Mack Hollins · MarShawn Lloyd · Matthew Golden · Rhamondre Stevenson · Savion Williams

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Hit rates count games he played, against tonight's line; a game landing exactly on a whole-number line is a push and isn't counted. Recent form is already in the price at most books (how lines are set), so treat it as research, not an edge. Prices are reads of public odds every hour, not a live feed. OpenSlate is not affiliated with any sportsbook. Market data, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? 1-800-GAMBLER.

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