Last games, oldest → newest. Green went over 2.5, red stayed under.
Vs the line DraftKings posted, last 5
Game
DK line then
Actual
+/−
Nov 1
2.5
3
+0.5
O
Oct 11
4.5
2
-2.5
U
Oct 4
3.5
3
-0.5
U
Sep 27
2.5
6
+3.5
O
Sep 20
2.5
1
-1.5
U
The last DraftKings line before each game, so a moving line is judged against what you could actually bet. Books adjust: a player who keeps beating his line usually gets a higher one.
6 books on 2.5
Book
Over
Under
DraftKings
-129
+102
FanDuel
-136
+102
BetMGM
-120
-110
Pinnacle
-115
-105
Bovada
-130
+100
BetOnline
-128
-101
Fair Over 51.1%Pinnacle no-vigEV at best price: Over -4.5% · Under -1.2%DK vs Pinnacle +2.1ppUnder
Receiving yds 29.5
Best Over -110DraftKingsBest Under -114DraftKings
L580%4/5 over
L1060%6/10 over
Season67%4/6 over
vs DK's line60%3/5 over · +10.7 avg
Avg L1039.5+10.0 vs line
Last games, oldest → newest. Green went over 29.5, red stayed under.
Vs the line DraftKings posted, last 5
Game
DK line then
Actual
+/−
Nov 1
34.5
31
-3.5
U
Oct 11
50.5
16
-34.5
U
Oct 4
36.5
60
+23.5
O
Sep 27
30.5
76
+45.5
O
Sep 20
30.5
53
+22.5
O
The last DraftKings line before each game, so a moving line is judged against what you could actually bet. Books adjust: a player who keeps beating his line usually gets a higher one.
5 books on 29.5
Book
Over
Under
DraftKings
-110
-114
BetMGM
-115
-115
BetRivers
-125
-115
Bovada
-115
-115
BetOnline
-114
-114
Fair Over 50.0%consensus of 5 booksEV at best price: Over -4.5% · Under -6.1%
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