Last games, oldest → newest. Green went over 1.5, red stayed under.
Vs the line DraftKings posted, last 5
Game
DK line then
Actual
+/−
Nov 1
1.5
5
+3.5
O
Oct 11
3.5
0
-3.5
U
Oct 4
2.5
5
+2.5
O
Sep 27
3.5
0
-3.5
U
Sep 20
1.5
2
+0.5
O
The last DraftKings line before each game, so a moving line is judged against what you could actually bet. Books adjust: a player who keeps beating his line usually gets a higher one.
6 books on 1.5
Book
Over
Under
DraftKings
-163
+128
FanDuel
-158
+118
BetMGM
-155
+115
Pinnacle
-165
+136
Bovada
-165
+125
BetOnline
-161
+124
Fair Over 59.5%Pinnacle no-vigEV at best price: Over -2.1% · Under -4.4%DK vs Pinnacle -0.9ppUnder
Receiving yds 16.5
Best Over -110DraftKingsBest Under -114DraftKings
L560%3/5 over
L1070%7/10 over
Season71%5/7 over
vs DK's line60%3/5 over · -4.9 avg
Avg L1021.7+5.2 vs line
Last games, oldest → newest. Green went over 16.5, red stayed under.
Vs the line DraftKings posted, last 5
Game
DK line then
Actual
+/−
Nov 1
16.5
52
+35.5
O
Oct 11
32.5
0
-32.5
U
Oct 4
29.5
36
+6.5
O
Sep 27
38.5
0
-38.5
U
Sep 20
13.5
18
+4.5
O
The last DraftKings line before each game, so a moving line is judged against what you could actually bet. Books adjust: a player who keeps beating his line usually gets a higher one.
3 books on 16.5
Book
Over
Under
DraftKings
-110
-114
Bovada
-115
-115
BetOnline
-112
-115
Fair Over 49.7%consensus of 3 booksEV at best price: Over -5.1% · Under -5.6%
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