Last games, oldest → newest. Green went over 2.5, red stayed under.
Vs the line DraftKings posted, last 5
Game
DK line then
Actual
+/−
Oct 29
2.5
1
-1.5
U
Oct 25
2.5
1
-1.5
U
Oct 4
1.5
4
+2.5
O
Sep 27
1.5
3
+1.5
O
Sep 20
1.5
1
-0.5
U
The last DraftKings line before each game, so a moving line is judged against what you could actually bet. Books adjust: a player who keeps beating his line usually gets a higher one.
6 books on 2.5
Book
Over
Under
DraftKings
+148
-191
FanDuel
+154
-210
BetMGM
+140
-190
Pinnacle
+160
-196
Bovada
+145
-190
BetOnline
+146
-192
Fair Over 36.7%Pinnacle no-vigEV at best price: Over -4.5% · Under -3.5%DK vs Pinnacle +1.3ppUnder
1 alternate line
Line
Best Over
Best Under
L10 over
Season
1.5
-194 DraftKings
+151 DraftKings
5/10
4/7
Receiving yds 16.5
Best Over -108DraftKingsBest Under -111Pinnacle
L560%3/5 over
L1050%5/10 over
Season57%4/7 over
vs DK's line40%2/5 over · +3.3 avg
Avg L1020.5+4.0 vs line
Last games, oldest → newest. Green went over 16.5, red stayed under.
Vs the line DraftKings posted, last 5
Game
DK line then
Actual
+/−
Oct 29
15.5
19
+3.5
O
Oct 25
15.5
8
-7.5
U
Oct 4
13.5
12
-1.5
U
Sep 27
9.5
41
+31.5
O
Sep 20
13.5
4
-9.5
U
The last DraftKings line before each game, so a moving line is judged against what you could actually bet. Books adjust: a player who keeps beating his line usually gets a higher one.
6 books on 16.5
Book
Over
Under
DraftKings
-108
-116
FanDuel
-113
-113
BetMGM
-111
-120
Pinnacle
-109
-111
Bovada
-110
-120
BetOnline
-110
-118
Fair Over 49.8%Pinnacle no-vigEV at best price: Over -4.1% · Under -4.5%DK vs Pinnacle -0.6ppUnder
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Hit rates count games he played, against tonight's line; a game landing exactly on a whole-number line is a push and isn't counted. Recent form is already in the price at most books (how lines are set), so treat it as research, not an edge. Prices are reads of public odds every hour, not a live feed. OpenSlate is not affiliated with any sportsbook. Market data, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? 1-800-GAMBLER.
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