Last games, oldest → newest. Green went over 4.5, red stayed under.
Vs the line DraftKings posted, last 5
Game
DK line then
Actual
+/−
Oct 29
5.5
6
+0.5
O
Oct 25
5.5
4
-1.5
U
Oct 4
5.5
14
+8.5
O
Sep 27
4.5
2
-2.5
U
Sep 20
4.5
5
+0.5
O
The last DraftKings line before each game, so a moving line is judged against what you could actually bet. Books adjust: a player who keeps beating his line usually gets a higher one.
3 books on 4.5
Book
Over
Under
DraftKings
-147
+115
BetMGM
-160
+120
Bovada
-150
+115
Fair Over 56.3%consensus of 3 booksEV at best price: Over -5.3% · Under -3.9%
1 alternate line
Line
Best Over
Best Under
L10 over
Season
5.5
+153 Pinnacle
-160 FanDuel
4/10
3/7
Receiving yds 61.5
Best Over -103PinnacleBest Under -113FanDuel
L540%2/5 over
L1060%6/10 over
Season57%4/7 over
vs DK's line40%2/5 over · +14.1 avg
Avg L1073.2+11.7 vs line
Last games, oldest → newest. Green went over 61.5, red stayed under.
Vs the line DraftKings posted, last 5
Game
DK line then
Actual
+/−
Oct 29
72.5
58
-14.5
U
Oct 25
70.5
40
-30.5
U
Oct 4
74.5
192
+117.5
O
Sep 27
62.5
17
-45.5
U
Sep 20
57.5
101
+43.5
O
The last DraftKings line before each game, so a moving line is judged against what you could actually bet. Books adjust: a player who keeps beating his line usually gets a higher one.
5 books on 61.5
Book
Over
Under
FanDuel
-113
-113
BetMGM
-115
-115
BetRivers
-113
-118
Pinnacle
-103
-118
BetOnline
-112
-115
Fair Over 48.4%Pinnacle no-vigEV at best price: Over -4.6% · Under -2.7%
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Hit rates count games he played, against tonight's line; a game landing exactly on a whole-number line is a push and isn't counted. Recent form is already in the price at most books (how lines are set), so treat it as research, not an edge. Prices are reads of public odds every hour, not a live feed. OpenSlate is not affiliated with any sportsbook. Market data, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? 1-800-GAMBLER.
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