Last games, oldest → newest. Green went over 5.5, red stayed under.
Vs the line DraftKings posted, last 5
Game
DK line then
Actual
+/−
Oct 25
5.5
8
+2.5
O
Oct 11
4.5
5
+0.5
O
Oct 4
4.5
4
-0.5
U
Sep 27
4.5
6
+1.5
O
Sep 20
3.5
4
+0.5
O
The last DraftKings line before each game, so a moving line is judged against what you could actually bet. Books adjust: a player who keeps beating his line usually gets a higher one.
4 books on 5.5
Book
Over
Under
FanDuel
-136
+102
BetMGM
-150
+110
Pinnacle
-131
+108
BetOnline
-143
+110
Fair Over 54.1%Pinnacle no-vigEV at best price: Over -4.6% · Under -3.6%
1 alternate line
Line
Best Over
Best Under
L10 over
Season
6.5
+115 Bovada
-145 DraftKings
3/10
1/7
Receiving yds 69.5
Best Over -112BetOnlineBest Under -113FanDuel
L560%3/5 over
L1060%6/10 over
Season57%4/7 over
vs DK's line80%4/5 over · +13.3 avg
Avg L1065.7-3.8 vs line
Last games, oldest → newest. Green went over 69.5, red stayed under.
Vs the line DraftKings posted, last 5
Game
DK line then
Actual
+/−
Oct 25
70.5
88
+17.5
O
Oct 11
54.5
24
-30.5
U
Oct 4
64.5
70
+5.5
O
Sep 27
47.5
82
+34.5
O
Sep 20
40.5
80
+39.5
O
The last DraftKings line before each game, so a moving line is judged against what you could actually bet. Books adjust: a player who keeps beating his line usually gets a higher one.
4 books on 69.5
Book
Over
Under
FanDuel
-113
-113
BetMGM
-115
-115
BetRivers
-114
-115
BetOnline
-112
-115
Fair Over 50.0%consensus of 4 booksEV at best price: Over -5.5% · Under -5.7%
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