Last games, oldest → newest. Green went over 2.5, red stayed under.
Vs the line DraftKings posted, last 6
Game
DK line then
Actual
+/−
Nov 1
1.5
4
+2.5
O
Oct 25
1.5
3
+1.5
O
Oct 11
2.5
0
-2.5
U
Oct 4
2.5
0
-2.5
U
Sep 27
1.5
4
+2.5
O
Sep 20
1.5
0
-1.5
U
The last DraftKings line before each game, so a moving line is judged against what you could actually bet. Books adjust: a player who keeps beating his line usually gets a higher one.
6 books on 2.5
Book
Over
Under
DraftKings
+141
-181
FanDuel
+124
-166
BetMGM
+130
-175
Pinnacle
+139
-170
Bovada
+140
-185
BetOnline
+136
-179
Fair Over 39.9%Pinnacle no-vigEV at best price: Over -3.8% · Under -3.7%DK vs Pinnacle -0.7ppUnder
Receiving yds 25.5
Best Over -109DraftKingsBest Under -113FanDuel
L540%2/5 over
L1029%2/7 over
Season29%2/7 over
vs DK's line50%3/6 over · -4.3 avg
Avg L1021.1-4.4 vs line
Last games, oldest → newest. Green went over 25.5, red stayed under.
Vs the line DraftKings posted, last 6
Game
DK line then
Actual
+/−
Nov 1
17.5
31
+13.5
O
Oct 25
20.5
25
+4.5
O
Oct 11
37.5
0
-37.5
U
Oct 4
34.5
0
-34.5
U
Sep 27
19.5
67
+47.5
O
Sep 20
19.5
0
-19.5
U
The last DraftKings line before each game, so a moving line is judged against what you could actually bet. Books adjust: a player who keeps beating his line usually gets a higher one.
4 books on 25.5
Book
Over
Under
DraftKings
-109
-115
FanDuel
-113
-113
BetMGM
-115
-115
Bovada
-110
-120
Fair Over 49.7%consensus of 4 booksEV at best price: Over -4.7% · Under -5.2%
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